MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 00:13:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Strasbourg

Lille
2 - 0
Strasbourg

David (23' pen., 28')
Virginius (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Prcic (36'), Dagba (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 2-2 Lille (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-0 Strasbourg

Having scored 21 goals across their 11 home league games this season – securing six wins along the way – Lille should cruise to a comfortable victory over relegation-threatened Strasbourg, who have lost five of their past nine away league outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 69.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 11.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lille in this match.

Result
LilleDrawStrasbourg
69.92% (-0.452 -0.45) 18.09% (0.065000000000001 0.07) 11.99% (0.388 0.39)
Both teams to score 49.45% (1.072 1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.71% (0.746 0.75)41.29% (-0.744 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.31% (0.752 0.75)63.68% (-0.751 -0.75)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.35% (0.087999999999994 0.09)10.64% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.51% (0.197 0.2)34.49% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.34% (1.146 1.15)44.66% (-1.147 -1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.34% (0.911 0.91)80.66% (-0.911 -0.91)
Score Analysis
    Lille 69.9%
    Strasbourg 11.99%
    Draw 18.09%
LilleDrawStrasbourg
2-0 @ 11.92% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-0 @ 10.64% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 8.91% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-1 @ 7.18% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
4-0 @ 4.99% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-1 @ 4.02% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.117 0.12)
5-0 @ 2.24% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 69.9%
1-1 @ 8.58% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.144 0.14)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 18.09%
0-1 @ 3.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.46% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 1.54% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.04% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 0.93% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 11.99%

How you voted: Lille vs Strasbourg

Lille
84.4%
Draw
8.9%
Strasbourg
6.7%
45
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2022 8pm
Strasbourg
0-3
Lille
David (41' pen., 76'), Cabella (80')
Andre (17')
Apr 24, 2022 4.05pm
Lille
1-0
Strasbourg
Celik (87')
Gudmundsson (36'), Botman (60')

Perrin (40'), Guilbert (70'), Djiku (71')
Sep 25, 2021 6pm
Strasbourg
1-2
Lille
Sissoko (75')
Diallo (19'), Djiku (38'), Le Marchand (38'), Ajorque (83'), Stephan (88')
Thomasson (79')
David (23', 57')
Grbic (70'), Djalo (78'), Xeka (81'), Mandava (90+1')
Feb 28, 2021 4.05pm
Oct 4, 2020 2pm
Strasbourg
0-3
Lille

Djiku (42')
Celik (21'), Sanches (53'), Yilmaz (68')
Araujo (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG25205070244665
2Marseille25154652302249
3Nice25137549301946
4MonacoMonaco25135749321744
5Lille25128540271344
6Lyon25126746311542
7StrasbourgStrasbourg2511773932740
8Lens2510693029136
9Brest25113113840-236
10Toulouse259793227534
11Auxerre2587103638-231
12Rennes2592143536-129
13Angers2576122640-1427
14NantesNantes2559112843-1524
15Reims2557132640-1422
16Le HavreLe Havre2563162451-2721
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2555152557-3220
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2543182159-3815


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!