Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Gerard Houllier
Lyon4 - 3Strasbourg
We said: Lyon 1-1 Strasbourg
While Lyon have had a torrid time in their opening two matches, we believe Sage's side possess more than enough quality to challenge Rosenior's Strasbourg team, leading us to believe this one will end all square. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Strasbourg |
49.19% ( -0.06) | 24.99% ( -0) | 25.81% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.63% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.98% ( 0.05) | 50.02% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28% ( 0.05) | 72% ( -0.05) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.64% ( -0) | 20.35% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.24% ( -0.01) | 52.75% ( 0) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% ( 0.08) | 33.91% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.41% ( 0.08) | 70.58% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Lyon 49.18%
Strasbourg 25.81%
Draw 24.99%
| Lyon | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.18% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.81% |
How you voted: Lyon vs Strasbourg
Lyon
45.2%Draw
27.8%Strasbourg
27.0%126
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
Aug 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Strasbourg
2-1
Lyon
Apr 28, 2023 8pm
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
