Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Nantes2 - 0Montpellier
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 Nantes
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 4-2 Clermont
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
16
We said: Nantes 2-2 Montpellier HSC
Sunday's game should be entertaining, but a score draw could be on the cards for teams expected to cancel each other out. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
38.23% ( 0.41) | 25.22% ( 0.18) | 36.55% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 56.95% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.3% ( -0.87) | 46.7% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% ( -0.82) | 68.96% ( 0.83) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.92% ( -0.18) | 24.08% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.64% ( -0.25) | 58.36% ( 0.26) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.01% ( -0.72) | 24.99% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.35% ( -1.01) | 59.65% ( 1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Nantes 38.23%
Montpellier HSC 36.55%
Draw 25.22%
| Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.23% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.8% Total : 36.55% |
How you voted: Nantes vs Montpellier
Nantes
42.4%Draw
39.4%Montpellier HSC
18.2%33
