Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 63.74%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
63.74% ( -1.16) | 19.74% ( 0.44) | 16.52% ( 0.72) |
Both teams to score 56.01% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.2% ( -0.63) | 38.8% ( 0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.89% ( -0.67) | 61.11% ( 0.67) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.45% ( -0.49) | 11.55% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.52% ( -1.07) | 36.48% ( 1.07) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.33% ( 0.49) | 36.67% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.54% ( 0.49) | 73.46% ( -0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.12) Other @ 4.12% Total : 63.74% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.74% | 1-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.34% Total : 16.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |