Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
36.27% | 27.24% | 36.48% |
Both teams to score 50.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.66% | 55.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.45% | 76.55% |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.75% | 29.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.79% | 65.21% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.88% | 29.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.95% | 65.05% |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 10.47% 2-1 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 6.44% 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.27% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.52% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |