Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 15, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Montpellier0 - 3Nantes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nice 6-1 Montpellier
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
We said: Montpellier HSC 0-1 Nantes
Having conceded six times to Nice, Montpellier will naturally be paying more consideration to the defensive side of their game on Sunday. That may let in a resolute Nantes side to edge this match by a solitary goal, further extending their improving run of results. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nantes |
31.91% ( -0.31) | 26.66% ( 0.03) | 41.44% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.37% ( -0.2) | 53.63% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.87% ( -0.17) | 75.13% ( 0.17) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.78% ( -0.31) | 31.22% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.44% ( -0.37) | 67.57% ( 0.37) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.47% ( 0.06) | 25.53% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.62% ( 0.08) | 60.38% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC 31.91%
Nantes 41.44%
Draw 26.65%
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.91% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.44% |
How you voted: Montpellier vs Nantes
Montpellier HSC
33.3%Draw
27.1%Nantes
39.6%48
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 2pm
May 16, 2020 7pm
