Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nantes |
31.91% ( -0.31) | 26.66% ( 0.03) | 41.44% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.37% ( -0.2) | 53.63% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.87% ( -0.17) | 75.13% ( 0.17) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.78% ( -0.31) | 31.22% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.44% ( -0.37) | 67.57% ( 0.37) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.47% ( 0.06) | 25.53% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.62% ( 0.08) | 60.38% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.91% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 37 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |