MX23RW : Sunday, May 11 19:30:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Strasbourg

Nantes
1 - 3
Strasbourg

Comert (35')
Zeze (33'), Comert (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gameiro (3'), Emegha (62', 78')
Senaya (18'), Sow (35'), Bakwa (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Nantes
Sunday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 1-1 Strasbourg

Five wins and two draws have been posted by each of Nantes and Strasbourg across the last 14 Ligue 1 meetings between the two clubs since 2017, while the home side have only won one of the last seven head-to-head encounters, seemingly handing Strasbourg a slight psychological advantage. A win for either side would provide them with a much-needed boost in their quest for survival, but we can see the spoils being shared in a frustrating score draw this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawStrasbourg
33.8% (0.246 0.25) 26.09% (-0.035 -0.04) 40.1% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)
Both teams to score 53.56% (0.167 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.12% (0.188 0.19)50.88% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.24% (0.166 0.17)72.76% (-0.167 -0.17)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.39% (0.248 0.25)28.6% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.59% (0.31 0.31)64.4% (-0.312 -0.31)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)24.98% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)59.63% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 33.8%
    Strasbourg 40.1%
    Draw 26.09%
NantesDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.76% (0.043 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.6% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.24% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 33.8%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 9.91% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.6% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 40.1%

How you voted: Nantes vs Strasbourg

Nantes
Draw
Strasbourg
Nantes
60.4%
Draw
24.5%
Strasbourg
15.1%
53
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Strasbourg
1-2
Nantes
Sahi (90+2')
Mwanga (25'), Guilbert (33'), Perrin (82')
Coco (50'), Moutoussamy (58')
Duverne (45+2')
May 7, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 34
Nantes
0-2
Strasbourg
Diallo (26' pen.), Diarra (47')
Aug 31, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 5
Strasbourg
1-1
Nantes
Diallo (28')
Mohamed (85')
Feb 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 23
Strasbourg
1-0
Nantes
Lienard (74')
Nyamsi (53'), Lienard (82'), Sels (90')

Chirivella (23'), Pallois (48'), Geubbels (78')
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 13
Nantes
2-2
Strasbourg
Coulibaly (20'), Kolo (48')
Pallois (5'), Traore (85')
Diallo (44'), Thomasson (68')
Caci (16')
Ajorque (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG33256289345581
2Marseille33195970452562
3MonacoMonaco33187863372661
4Nice33169860411957
5Lille33169850351557
6StrasbourgStrasbourg33169854411357
7Lyon331661163461754
8Brest33155135253-150
9Lens33147123839-149
10Auxerre33119134748-142
11Rennes33132184946341
12Toulouse33109144141039
13Angers33106173251-1936
14Reims3389163245-1333
15NantesNantes33712143652-1633
16Le HavreLe Havre3394203769-3231
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3386193774-3730
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3344252376-5316


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