Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Metz |
42.8% ( -0.28) | 25.82% ( 0.24) | 31.39% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.69% ( -0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.64% ( -0.99) | 50.37% ( 1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.7% ( -0.89) | 72.31% ( 0.9) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% ( -0.56) | 23.39% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.63% ( -0.83) | 57.38% ( 0.84) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.08% ( -0.47) | 29.93% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.97% ( -0.57) | 66.03% ( 0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.8% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 31.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |