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Ligue 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Nantes

Toulouse
1 - 2
Nantes

Dallinga (90+6')
Sierro (19'), Gboho (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mohamed (2'), Kadewere (51')
Sissoko (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 2-3 Toulouse
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Lens
Saturday, February 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 1-0 Nantes

 With a huge clash in Europe against Benfica in Lisbon on the horizon in midweek, Toulouse must first attend to matters domestically, and recent form suggests they should get over the line with three points here. Nantes' awful form of late shows no sign of stopping anytime soon given their profligacy in attack, and they could end up being sucked in closer to the drop zone by the end of the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawNantes
38.77% (0.188 0.19) 26.23% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 35.01% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.34% (0.285 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.74% (0.37 0.37)51.26% (-0.362 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.91% (0.323 0.32)73.09% (-0.316 -0.32)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13% (0.27499999999999 0.27)25.87% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.15% (0.368 0.37)60.85% (-0.361 -0.36)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96% (0.124 0.12)28.05% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (0.153 0.15)63.7% (-0.146 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 38.77%
    Nantes 35.01%
    Draw 26.23%
ToulouseDrawNantes
1-0 @ 9.81% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.43% (0.034999999999998 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.8% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 38.77%
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.26% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.86% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 35.01%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Nantes

Toulouse
64.0%
Draw
30.0%
Nantes
6.0%
50
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 1
Nantes
1-2
Toulouse
Mohamed (13' pen.)
Coco (2'), Pallois (18')
Aboukhlal (62'), Nicolaisen (90+1')
Costa (52'), Sierro (73')
> Preview
May 14, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 35
Toulouse
0-0
Nantes
> Preview
Apr 29, 2023 8pm
Final
Nantes
1-5
Toulouse
Blas (75' pen.)
Costa (4', 10'), Dallinga (23', 31'), Aboukhlal (79')
> Match Report
Aug 28, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 4
Nantes
3-1
Toulouse
Guessand (50'), Mohamed (55'), Simon (61')
Aboukhlal (15')
van den Boomen (37'), Dejaegere (45'), Nicolaisen (87')
> Preview
Apr 18, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 33
Toulouse
P-P
Nantes
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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