Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
Apr 23, 2023 at 2pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
We said: Nantes 1-0 Troyes
Nantes are in awful league form and have a huge distraction on their minds with the cup final to come, but are arguably facing the perfect opponents right now.
Troyes have drawn a blank in six of their last seven Ligue 1 fixtures against Nantes, and with senior players seemingly giving up the ghost, ESTAC's fate seems settled.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 52.74% . A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 23.04% .
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.45%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%) , while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.85%) . The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood .
Result Nantes Draw Troyes 52.74% ( 0.01) 24.21% ( -0.01) 23.04% ( -0)
Both teams to score 52.14% ( 0.02)
50.75% ( 0.03) 49.25% ( -0.03)
28.69% ( 0.03) 71.31% ( -0.03)
81.37% ( 0.01) 18.63% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 50.07% ( 0.02) 49.93% ( -0.02)
64.08% ( 0.02) 35.92% ( -0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 27.3% ( 0.02) 72.69% ( -0.02)
Nantes 52.74%
Troyes 23.04%
Draw 24.21%
Nantes Draw Troyes 1-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.45% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 52.74% 1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.21% 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.89% 0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.89% Total : 23.04%
How you voted: Nantes vs Troyes
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rhs 2.0
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