MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 16:20:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Brest logo

Troyes
2 - 2
Brest

Ripart (34'), Lopes (38')
Ripart (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lees-Melou (30'), Del Castillo (74' pen.)
Lees-Melou (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 2-0 Troyes
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-2 PSG
Saturday, March 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 0-0 Brest

Given the current state of affairs at the bottom end of the Ligue 1 table, we expect Troyes and Brest to produce a cagey encounter on Sunday, with a goalless draw looking like the most probable outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
TroyesDrawBrest
33.86% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 28.47% (0.088999999999999 0.09) 37.67% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.28% (-0.262 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.95% (-0.319 -0.32)60.05% (0.32 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.72% (-0.242 -0.24)80.28% (0.246 0.25)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82% (-0.212 -0.21)33.18% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.21% (-0.236 -0.24)69.79% (0.23699999999999 0.24)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.27% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)30.73% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.01% (-0.202 -0.2)66.99% (0.205 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 33.85%
    Brest 37.67%
    Draw 28.46%
TroyesDrawBrest
1-0 @ 11.24% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.69% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.85%
1-1 @ 13.27% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.19% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.46%
0-1 @ 12.03% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.1% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 37.67%

How you voted: Troyes vs Brest

Troyes
39.0%
Draw
46.3%
Brest
14.6%
41
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Brest
2-1
Troyes
Del Castillo (55' pen.), Mounie (77' pen.)
Chardonnet (60' og.)
Kouame (34')
Feb 13, 2022 2pm
Brest
5-1
Troyes
Satriano (7', 27'), Honorat (49', 67'), Mounie (82')
Agoume (15'), Der Zakarian (66')
Rami (45')
Tardieu (43')
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Troyes
1-1
Brest
Rami (80')
Kabore (13'), Moulin (13')
Honorat (5')
Herelle (22'), Mounie (54')
Jan 12, 2019 2pm
Brest
1-1
Troyes
Autret (38')
Larsonneur (56'), Belaud (71'), Autret (72'), N'Goma (90')
Weber (90')
Mbeumo (51')
Marcel (74'), Obiang (75')
Obiang (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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