Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30

Apr 9, 2023 at 4.05pm UK

La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
2 - 2
Monaco

Mohamed (65'), Blas (78')
Girotto (56'), Corchia (62'), Blas (79')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Disasi (21'), Matazo (30')
Volland (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Lyon
Wednesday, April 5 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Monaco 4-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 2 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

These two teams have been challenging to read this season, and they have each been streaky at times in 2022-23. That being said, Monaco have looked much sharper and calmer away from home and should be able to exploit a Nantes side who seem to be feeling the pressure of potential relegation at this stage of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 18.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Monaco
18.39% ( -0.31)	21.85% ( -0.09)	59.76% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 52.63% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.86% (

-0.09)

45.13% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.52% (

-0.09)

67.48% (

0.09)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.7% (

-0.4)

38.3% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.94% (

-0.39)

75.06% (

0.39)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.29% (

0.1)

14.7% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.11% (

0.19)

42.89% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Nantes 18.39%

Monaco 59.74%

Draw 21.85%

Nantes	Draw	Monaco
1-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.31% Total : 18.39%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.85%	0-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 10.34% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-3 @ 6.61% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.35% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 3.17% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.04% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 59.74%