Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27

Mar 12, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient
2 - 0
Troyes

Dieng (8'), Diarra (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Palmer-Brown (76'), Kouame (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Lorient
Sunday, March 5 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Troyes

All competitions

Last Game: Troyes 2-2 Monaco
Sunday, March 5 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Both of these sides are coming into this clash off the back of respectable points last time out, although the long-term form of Troyes is something that cannot be ignored. Les Merlus have shown their ability to pick up results despite losing their star men in January, and they should be confident of beating a troubled Troyes side on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Troyes
57.31% ( 0.09)	22.85% ( -0.11)	19.84% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 51.92% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.68% (

0.49)

47.32% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.46% (

0.46)

69.54% (

-0.46)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.74% (

0.2)

16.26% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.2% (

0.37)

45.79% (

-0.38)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.01% (

0.31)

37.99% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.24% (

0.29)

74.76% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Lorient 57.31%

Troyes 19.84%

Draw 22.85%

Lorient	Draw	Troyes
1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.17% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.17% Total : 57.31%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.85%	0-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.54% Total : 19.84%