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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Nantes

PSG
4 - 2
Nantes

Messi (12'), Hadjam (17' og.), Pereira (60'), Mbappe (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Blas (31'), Ganago (38')
Hadjam (63'), Girotto (69')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nantes.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paris Saint-Germain could line up for Saturday's Ligue 1 clash with Nantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Lens
Wednesday, March 1 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Nantes

Even with the injury concerns still piling up and their most influential midfielder in Verratti suspended, PSG can take advantage of Nantes' midweek fatigue to warm up for Bayern in the best possible fashion. Ex-PSG boss Kombouare has seen his side lose the rearguard reliability that typified their performances earlier in 2023, so their trip to the capital should be a miserable one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 70.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 12.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
70.19% (0.212 0.21) 17.26% (-0.13 -0.13) 12.55% (-0.084 -0.08)
Both teams to score 54.35% (0.231 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.16% (0.42100000000001 0.42)35.84% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.08% (0.462 0.46)57.92% (-0.463 -0.46)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.87% (0.15600000000001 0.16)9.13% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.01% (0.376 0.38)30.99% (-0.378 -0.38)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.82% (0.15 0.15)40.18% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.18% (0.136 0.14)76.82% (-0.137 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 70.19%
    Nantes 12.55%
    Draw 17.26%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
2-0 @ 10.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.78% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-0 @ 8.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.65% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.02% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.57% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.031 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.4% (0.036 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.19% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.09% (0.033 0.03)
5-2 @ 1% (0.023 0.02)
6-0 @ 0.96% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 70.19%
1-1 @ 8.01% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.67% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 17.26%
1-2 @ 3.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.35% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.53% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 12.55%

How you voted: PSG vs Nantes

Paris Saint-Germain
90.2%
Draw
4.9%
Nantes
4.9%
102
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 8pm
Nantes
0-3
PSG

Pallois (33')
Da Silva (24')
Mbappe (18', 54'), Mendes (68')
Bernat (45+1'), Verratti (50'), Mbappe (58'), Ramos (68')
Jul 31, 2022 7pm
Final
PSG
4-0
Nantes
Messi (22'), Neymar (45+5', 82' pen.), Ramos (57')
Vitinha (16')

Coco (38'), Moutoussamy (75')
Castelletto (81')
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Nantes
3-1
PSG
Kolo (4'), Merlin (15'), Blas (45+5' pen.)
Castelletto (17'), Appiah (45+1')
Neymar (47')
Verratti (38'), Wijnaldum (45+4'), Neymar (50'), Mbappe (83'), Hakimi (90+1'), di Maria (90+2')
Nov 20, 2021 4pm
PSG
3-1
Nantes
Mbappe (2'), Appiah (81' og.), Messi (87')
Verratti (71')
Navas (65')
Kolo (76')
Chirivella (39'), Blas (83')
Mar 14, 2021 8pm
PSG
1-2
Nantes
Draxler (42')
Rafinha (48'), Verratti (67')
Kolo (59'), Simon (71')
Simon (45'), Traore (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG25205070244665
2Marseille25154652302249
3Nice25137549301946
4MonacoMonaco25135749321744
5Lille25128540271344
6Lyon25126746311542
7StrasbourgStrasbourg2511773932740
8Lens2510693029136
9Brest25113113840-236
10Toulouse259793227534
11Auxerre2587103638-231
12Rennes2592143536-129
13Angers2576122640-1427
14NantesNantes2559112843-1524
15Reims2557132640-1422
16Le HavreLe Havre2563162451-2721
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2555152557-3220
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2543182159-3815


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