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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Nantes

PSG
4 - 2
Nantes

Messi (12'), Hadjam (17' og.), Pereira (60'), Mbappe (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Blas (31'), Ganago (38')
Hadjam (63'), Girotto (69')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nantes.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paris Saint-Germain could line up for Saturday's Ligue 1 clash with Nantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Lens
Wednesday, March 1 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Nantes

Even with the injury concerns still piling up and their most influential midfielder in Verratti suspended, PSG can take advantage of Nantes' midweek fatigue to warm up for Bayern in the best possible fashion. Ex-PSG boss Kombouare has seen his side lose the rearguard reliability that typified their performances earlier in 2023, so their trip to the capital should be a miserable one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 70.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 12.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
70.19% (0.212 0.21) 17.26% (-0.13 -0.13) 12.55% (-0.084 -0.08)
Both teams to score 54.35% (0.231 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.16% (0.42100000000001 0.42)35.84% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.08% (0.462 0.46)57.92% (-0.463 -0.46)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.87% (0.15600000000001 0.16)9.13% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.01% (0.376 0.38)30.99% (-0.378 -0.38)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.82% (0.15 0.15)40.18% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.18% (0.136 0.14)76.82% (-0.137 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 70.19%
    Nantes 12.55%
    Draw 17.26%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
2-0 @ 10.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.78% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-0 @ 8.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.65% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.02% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.57% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.031 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.4% (0.036 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.19% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.09% (0.033 0.03)
5-2 @ 1% (0.023 0.02)
6-0 @ 0.96% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 70.19%
1-1 @ 8.01% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.67% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 17.26%
1-2 @ 3.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.35% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.53% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 12.55%

How you voted: PSG vs Nantes

Paris Saint-Germain
90.2%
Draw
4.9%
Nantes
4.9%
102
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 8pm
Nantes
0-3
PSG

Pallois (33')
Da Silva (24')
Mbappe (18', 54'), Mendes (68')
Bernat (45+1'), Verratti (50'), Mbappe (58'), Ramos (68')
Jul 31, 2022 7pm
Final
PSG
4-0
Nantes
Messi (22'), Neymar (45+5', 82' pen.), Ramos (57')
Vitinha (16')

Coco (38'), Moutoussamy (75')
Castelletto (81')
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Nantes
3-1
PSG
Kolo (4'), Merlin (15'), Blas (45+5' pen.)
Castelletto (17'), Appiah (45+1')
Neymar (47')
Verratti (38'), Wijnaldum (45+4'), Neymar (50'), Mbappe (83'), Hakimi (90+1'), di Maria (90+2')
Nov 20, 2021 4pm
PSG
3-1
Nantes
Mbappe (2'), Appiah (81' og.), Messi (87')
Verratti (71')
Navas (65')
Kolo (76')
Chirivella (39'), Blas (83')
Mar 14, 2021 8pm
PSG
1-2
Nantes
Draxler (42')
Rafinha (48'), Verratti (67')
Kolo (59'), Simon (71')
Simon (45'), Traore (51')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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