Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Auxerre |
56.2% ( 0.49) | 22.87% ( -0.24) | 20.93% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 53.57% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.03% ( 0.71) | 45.97% ( -0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.72% ( 0.67) | 68.28% ( -0.67) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.83% ( 0.42) | 16.17% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.37% ( 0.76) | 45.63% ( -0.76) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.9% ( 0.15) | 36.09% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.12% ( 0.15) | 72.88% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Auxerre |
1-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 56.19% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.82% Total : 20.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |