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AJ Auxerre
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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Feb 26, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
AJ Auxerre

Lorient
0 - 1
Auxerre


Meite (56'), Abergel (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Raveloson (58')
Toure (32'), Dembele (67'), Massengo (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 3-0 Ajaccio
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Auxerre

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 2-1 Lyon
Friday, February 17 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 3-0 Auxerre

 Lorient put in a much-improved performance against Ajaccio last weekend, a team that are on the same points tally as Auxerre, and so they should have no trouble sweeping their opponents aside on Sunday. The White and Blues proved they have what it takes to go toe-to-toe with some of the better sides in the division in their last match, defeating Lyon, but their away record is very poor, and Lorient have been very impressive on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
LorientDrawAuxerre
43.66% (0.128 0.13) 25.52% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08) 30.82% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 54.37% (0.216 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (0.292 0.29)49.35% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (0.262 0.26)71.4% (-0.267 -0.27)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (0.184 0.18)22.54% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88% (0.274 0.27)56.12% (-0.28 -0.28)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.19% (0.108 0.11)29.8% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.11% (0.132 0.13)65.88% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 43.65%
    Auxerre 30.82%
    Draw 25.52%
LorientDrawAuxerre
1-0 @ 10% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.7% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 43.65%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 30.82%

How you voted: Lorient vs Auxerre

Lorient
83.9%
Draw
11.3%
Auxerre
4.8%
62
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2022 8pm
Auxerre
1-3
Lorient
Hein (50')
Mensah (40')
Ouattara (15'), Moffi (36'), Le Fee (42')
May 1, 2020 7pm
Auxerre
P-P
Lorient
Dec 13, 2019 7pm
Lorient
1-0
Auxerre
Cabot (65')
Le Goff (61'), Cabot (71'), Lemoine (74')

Barreto (82')
Apr 29, 2019 7.45pm
Lorient
2-2
Auxerre
Wissa (60'), Claude Maurice (62')
Cabot (50')
Van Boto (32'), Yattara (71')
Van Boto (61')
Apr 25, 2019
1am
Lorient  
vs.
  Auxerre
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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