Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Lyon |
20.67% ( -0.56) | 22.62% ( 0.32) | 56.71% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 53.99% ( -1.93) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.77% ( -2.15) | 45.22% ( 2.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.43% ( -2.09) | 67.57% ( 2.09) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.06% ( -1.77) | 35.93% ( 1.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.29% ( -1.85) | 72.71% ( 1.85) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.26% ( -0.67) | 15.73% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.17% ( -1.25) | 44.83% ( 1.24) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.84% Total : 20.67% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.62% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.71) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.45) 1-3 @ 6.1% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 2.82% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 2.76% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.14) 1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.08) 0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 56.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |