Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 at 4pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Nice2 - 1Monaco
We said: Nice 1-3 Monaco
Monaco have won all three of their away league matches this season, and we think that they will continue to showcase their quality on the road by claiming maximum points in Sunday's derby clash to condemn Nice to their first home defeat of the season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Nice had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Monaco |
35.56% ( -0.12) | 26.2% ( 0.02) | 38.24% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.51% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
