Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Nice had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
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