Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
-1.23) 
0.26) 
