We said: Nice 3-1 Montpellier HSC
Nice are clear favourites heading into this encounter, boasting impressive form and a formidable home record, while Montpellier's away struggles and leaky defence suggest a straightforward win for the hosts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
56.98% ( -1.23) | 21.95% ( 0.26) | 21.07% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 56.87% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.31% ( 0.16) | 41.69% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.91% ( 0.16) | 64.09% ( -0.16) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.56% ( -0.33) | 14.44% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.62% ( -0.65) | 42.37% ( 0.65) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.47% ( 1.05) | 33.53% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.83% ( 1.13) | 70.17% ( -1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
Nice 56.98%
Montpellier HSC 21.07%
Draw 21.94%
| Nice | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.08)Other @ 3% Total : 56.98% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.14)0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.24% Total : 21.07% |
How you voted: Nice vs Montpellier
Nice
84.0%Draw
12.0%Montpellier HSC
4.0%25
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 15
Montpellier
2-2
Nice
Feb 7, 2024 7.30pm
Round of 16
Montpellier
1-4
Nice
Ndayishimiye (29'), Louchet (37'), Cho (39'), Claude-Maurice (62' pen.)
Claude-Maurice (34'), Rosario (46'), Balde (71')
Claude-Maurice (34'), Rosario (46'), Balde (71')
Nov 10, 2023 8pm
