Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 18.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 0-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lyon |
18.48% (![]() | 20.54% (![]() | 60.98% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.96% (![]() | 39.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.64% (![]() | 61.35% (![]() |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.4% (![]() | 34.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.68% (![]() | 71.31% (![]() |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.62% (![]() | 12.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.76% (![]() | 38.24% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 5.04% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.78% ( ![]() Other @ 2.84% Total : 18.48% | 1-1 @ 9.5% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.27% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.28% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.54% | 1-2 @ 9.92% (![]() 0-2 @ 9.35% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 8.95% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.91% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.51% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.61% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.42% ( ![]() Other @ 3.83% Total : 60.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 27 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 79 | 26 | 53 | 71 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 50 |
3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 49 |
4 | Nice | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Lille | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 47 |
6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 46 |
7 | Lyon | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 45 |
8 | Brest | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 40 |
9 | Lens | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Auxerre | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 35 |
11 | Toulouse | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 34 |
12 | Rennes | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 32 |
13 | NantesNantes | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 27 |
14 | Angers | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 27 |
15 | Reims | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 26 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 57 | -28 | 24 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 26 | 63 | -37 | 20 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |