Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, February 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, February 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
20
We said: Montpellier HSC 0-3 Lyon
After back-to-back defeats most recently, bottom side Montpellier will be dreading the arrival of top-four hopefuls Lyon on Sunday afternoon. Les Gones swept Reims aside with ease last weekend, and we feel that it could be a similar story for the Champions League chasers this time around. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 18.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 0-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lyon |
18.48% ( -0.63) | 20.54% ( -0.1) | 60.98% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 57.3% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.96% ( -0.55) | 39.03% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.64% ( -0.58) | 61.35% ( 0.58) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.4% ( -0.98) | 34.6% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.68% ( -1.06) | 71.31% ( 1.06) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.62% ( 0.04) | 12.38% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.76% ( 0.08) | 38.24% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC 18.48%
Lyon 60.98%
Draw 20.54%
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 4.55% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.84% Total : 18.48% | 1-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.54% | 1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.27)0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 6.91% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 6.51% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 3.61% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 3.4% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.42% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.83% Total : 60.98% |
How you voted: Montpellier vs Lyon
Montpellier HSC
12.0%Draw
16.0%Lyon
72.0%25
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2025 8pm
Gameweek 16
Lyon
1-0
Montpellier
Feb 11, 2024 4.05pm
Gameweek 21
Montpellier
1-2
Lyon
Aug 19, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 2
Lyon
1-4
Montpellier
May 7, 2023 4.05pm
Oct 22, 2022 4pm
