MX23RW : Monday, March 31 20:56:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Lyon

Montpellier
1 - 4
Lyon

Coulibaly (38')
Coulibaly (29'), Delort (34'), Sainte-Luce (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mikautadze (3'), Nuamah (50'), Tolisso (53'), Lacazette (73')
Tagliafico (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, February 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 4-0 Reims
Sunday, February 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 0-3 Lyon

After back-to-back defeats most recently, bottom side Montpellier will be dreading the arrival of top-four hopefuls Lyon on Sunday afternoon. Les Gones swept Reims aside with ease last weekend, and we feel that it could be a similar story for the Champions League chasers this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 0-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLyon
18.48% (-0.628 -0.63) 20.54% (-0.1 -0.1) 60.98% (0.73 0.73)
Both teams to score 57.3% (-0.84 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.96% (-0.554 -0.55)39.03% (0.555 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.64% (-0.582 -0.58)61.35% (0.584 0.58)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.4% (-0.985 -0.98)34.6% (0.987 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.68% (-1.059 -1.06)71.31% (1.061 1.06)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.62% (0.036000000000001 0.04)12.38% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.76% (0.075000000000003 0.08)38.24% (-0.073 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 18.48%
    Lyon 60.98%
    Draw 20.54%
Montpellier HSCDrawLyon
2-1 @ 5.04% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-0 @ 4.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 2.41% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 18.48%
1-1 @ 9.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.28% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.54%
1-2 @ 9.92% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.35% (0.266 0.27)
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.242 0.24)
1-3 @ 6.91% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.51% (0.193 0.19)
2-3 @ 3.67% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-4 @ 3.61% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.4% (0.105 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.92% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.51% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.42% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 60.98%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Lyon

Montpellier HSC
12.0%
Draw
16.0%
Lyon
72.0%
25
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2025 8pm
Gameweek 16
Lyon
1-0
Montpellier
Fayad (90+1' og.)
Veretout (64'), Veretout (66')

Sagnan (50'), Maksimovic (64')
Feb 11, 2024 4.05pm
Gameweek 21
Montpellier
1-2
Lyon
Nordin (23')
Ferri (90')
Lacazette (74'), Caqueret (82')
Tagliafico (28'), Orban (90')
Aug 19, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 2
Lyon
1-4
Montpellier
Lacazette (69')
Diomande (13'), Lepenant (29'), Barcola (45+4'), Tagliafico (83')
Lacazette (80')
Nordin (20'), Al Tamari (39', 66'), Adams (89')
Kouyate (51')
May 7, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 34
Lyon
5-4
Montpellier
Lacazette (31', 59', 82', 90+10' pen.), Lovren (70')
Wahi (40', 41', 53', 55')
Oct 22, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 12
Montpellier
1-2
Lyon
Wahi (70')
Aouar (33'), Lacazette (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG27225079265371
2MonacoMonaco27155753332050
3Marseille27154854361849
4Nice27138651331847
5Lille27138641281347
6StrasbourgStrasbourg27137745351046
7Lyon27136852371545
8Brest27124114242040
9Lens27116103130139
10Auxerre2798103839-135
11Toulouse2797113533234
12Rennes27102153837132
13NantesNantes2769123146-1527
14Angers2776142645-1927
15Reims2768132941-1226
16Le HavreLe Havre2773172957-2824
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2655162663-3720
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2643192160-3915


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