Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
Strasbourg2 - 0Montpellier
We said: Strasbourg 2-1 Montpellier HSC
Strasbourg may have lost last time out, but they will be confident of getting back to winning ways this weekend. Le Racing are likely to score at least once given the visitors' shocking defensive record, and if they get two then Montpellier may not be able to find a way back. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
48.58% ( 0.03) | 24.68% ( -0) | 26.75% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.44% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.96% ( -0.02) | 48.04% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.79% ( -0.02) | 70.2% ( 0.02) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.18% ( 0) | 19.82% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.1% ( 0.01) | 51.9% ( -0.01) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.89% ( -0.04) | 32.11% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.42% ( -0.04) | 68.58% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Strasbourg 48.58%
Montpellier HSC 26.75%
Draw 24.68%
| Strasbourg | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.58% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 26.75% |
How you voted: Strasbourg vs Montpellier
Strasbourg
84.6%Draw
10.3%Montpellier HSC
5.1%39
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 2pm
Sep 17, 2022 4pm
Form Guide
