Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12

Nov 10, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
0 - 0
Nice

Rosario (5'), Boudaoui (45+1'), Todibo (71'), Bard (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: PSG 3-0 Montpellier
Friday, November 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Nice

All competitions

Last Game: Nice 2-0 Rennes
Sunday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Montpellier HSC 0-1 Nice

Nice being in great form is not promising for Montpellier, and looking at last season's meetings may make this clash appear even tougher. The hosts led 2-0 in this fixture last season but went on to lose 3-2 just a few months after being thrashed 6-1 at the Allianz Riviera, and a repeat outcome is likely, but the volume of goals may be slightly lower here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Nice
33.14% ( 0.12)	25.41% ( 0.07)	41.44% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 55.66% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.91% (

-0.26)

48.09% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.75% (

-0.24)

70.25% (

0.24)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.34% (

-0.05)

27.66% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.8% (

-0.07)

63.2% (

0.07)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.94% (

-0.2)

23.06% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.11% (

-0.3)

56.89% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 33.15%

Nice 41.44%

Draw 25.41%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.15%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.13% Total : 41.44%