MX23RW : Monday, December 23 07:07:49| >> :600:113664:113664:
Montpellier
Coupe de France | Round of 16
Feb 7, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Nice

Montpellier
1 - 4
Nice

Sagnan (75')
Savanier (34'), Lecomte (61')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Ndayishimiye (29'), Louchet (37'), Cho (39'), Claude-Maurice (62' pen.)
Claude-Maurice (34'), Rosario (46'), Balde (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Montpellier HSC and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Montpellier
Saturday, February 3 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Nice

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Brest 0-0 Nice
Sunday, February 4 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-1 Nice

 Despite the gap in the league standings between these sides, Montpellier have fared well on their home patch this season and head into this match unbeaten in their last four on home soil. In contrast, Nice have struggled to find wins on the road of late and failed to score in three of their last four away league matches. We are expecting a tight and tactical match here and feel that we may need penalties to find the winner in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawNice
27.74% (-0.28 -0.28) 25.68% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06) 46.58% (0.34200000000001 0.34)
Both teams to score 52.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.49% (0.088999999999999 0.09)51.51% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.69% (0.075999999999997 0.08)73.31% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.83% (-0.17099999999999 -0.17)33.17% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.23% (-0.186 -0.19)69.77% (0.18700000000001 0.19)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (0.194 0.19)22.1% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (0.289 0.29)55.46% (-0.29 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 27.74%
    Nice 46.58%
    Draw 25.67%
Montpellier HSCDrawNice
1-0 @ 8.09% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.74% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.46% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.48% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 27.74%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 11.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.35% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.2% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.025 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.59% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 46.58%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Nice

Montpellier HSC
26.5%
Draw
33.8%
Nice
39.7%
68
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
Montpellier
0-0
Nice
Rosario (5'), Boudaoui (45+1'), Todibo (71'), Bard (82')
> Preview
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Montpellier
2-3
Nice
Savanier (7', 17' pen.)
Barkley (53'), Laborde (67', 79')
Boudaoui (63'), Rosario (88'), Dante (90')
> Preview
Jan 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Nice
6-1
Montpellier
Pepe (15', 56'), Thuram (35'), Delort (75'), Barkley (82', 85')
Savanier (80')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 4pm
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Montpellier
0-0
Nice
Esteve (20'), Wahi (69'), Makouana (90+1')
Lotomba (22'), Boudaoui (32')
Dante (35')
> Preview
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Gameweek 13
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Montpellier

Thuram (63'), Bard (77')
Mollet (80')
> Preview
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