Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Nice had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Lens |
27.42% (![]() | 24.86% (![]() | 47.72% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.4% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.66% (![]() | 48.34% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.51% (![]() | 70.48% (![]() |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.25% (![]() | 31.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.83% (![]() | 68.17% (![]() |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.7% (![]() | 20.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.33% (![]() | 52.67% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 7.4% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.77% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.62% ( ![]() Other @ 2.75% Total : 27.42% | 1-1 @ 11.79% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.44% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 10.27% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.4% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.19% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.35% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 2.76% Total : 47.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 58 | 20 | 38 | 53 |
2 | Marseille | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 46 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Nice | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Lille | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Lyon | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Lens | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 |
8 | Brest | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 32 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Toulouse | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 27 |
11 | Auxerre | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 25 |
12 | Rennes | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Angers | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Reims | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 22 |
15 | NantesNantes | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 21 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 18 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 17 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |