Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 at 4pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Nice2 - 0Lens
We said: Nice 0-0 Lens
In a clash against one of Ligue 1's strongest home teams and best-performing away teams, there is very little between these two sides ahead of this one. One point and one place is all that separates them in the league table too, and after drawing 0-0 in the reverse fixture, a repeat would not be a surprise. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Nice had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Lens |
27.42% ( 0.09) | 24.86% ( -0.03) | 47.72% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.4% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.66% ( 0.18) | 48.34% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.51% ( 0.16) | 70.48% ( -0.16) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.25% ( 0.16) | 31.74% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.83% ( 0.19) | 68.17% ( -0.18) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.7% ( 0.05) | 20.3% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.33% ( 0.08) | 52.67% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Nice 27.42%
Lens 47.71%
Draw 24.86%
| Nice | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 27.42% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 47.71% |
How you voted: Nice vs Lens
Nice
47.5%Draw
42.5%Lens
10.0%40
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 4pm
Dec 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Nice
2-0
Lens
Feb 1, 2023 8pm
Dec 29, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Nice
0-0
Lens
