Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 82.54%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 6.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 3-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.06%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (1.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
82.54% | 11.16% | 6.3% |
Both teams to score 51.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.14% | 25.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.95% | 46.05% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.41% | 4.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.28% | 18.72% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.29% | 45.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.51% | 81.49% |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
3-0 @ 10.24% 2-0 @ 9.96% 3-1 @ 8.02% 4-0 @ 7.9% 2-1 @ 7.8% 1-0 @ 6.46% 4-1 @ 6.18% 5-0 @ 4.87% 5-1 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 3.14% 6-0 @ 2.5% 4-2 @ 2.42% 6-1 @ 1.96% 5-2 @ 1.49% 7-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 4.67% Total : 82.54% | 1-1 @ 5.06% 2-2 @ 3.05% 0-0 @ 2.09% Other @ 0.96% Total : 11.16% | 1-2 @ 1.98% 0-1 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.68% Total : 6.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
10 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |