We said: Marseille 2-1 Reims
Despite Wednesday's defeat in Greece, we expect Marseille to kick-start their Ligue 1 campaign with a narrow victory over Reims, who registered one of the worst away records in the French top flight last season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.76%. A win for Reims had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Reims |
51.76% ( -0.01) | 23.87% ( 0) | 24.37% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.75% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.46% ( -0) | 46.53% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.19% ( -0) | 68.81% ( 0) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.02% ( -0.01) | 17.98% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.17% ( -0.01) | 48.82% ( 0.01) |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.75% ( 0.01) | 33.25% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.14% ( 0.01) | 69.86% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Reims |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.05% 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.53% Total : 51.75% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 24.37% |
