Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
Result | ||
Reims | Draw | Clermont |
45.5% ( 0.22) | 25.7% ( -0.15) | 28.79% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 52.67% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.95% ( 0.55) | 51.05% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.09% ( 0.48) | 72.91% ( -0.48) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.6% ( 0.34) | 22.4% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.08% ( 0.5) | 55.91% ( -0.51) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.88% ( 0.22) | 32.12% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.4% ( 0.25) | 68.6% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Reims | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.5% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 28.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |