MX23RW : Friday, May 9 22:16:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Nice

Lyon
1 - 1
Nice

Lacazette (89' pen.)
Tagliafico (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pepe (38' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Lyon
Sunday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-0 Brest
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 1-0 Nice

Nice may be in better form at the moment, however, only two of their last six league matches have been against teams in the top half of the table (Paris Saint-Germain and Lorient). On the opposite side, Lyon have kept their matches close of late, with their last eight fixtures being decided by a goal or fewer, and we believe the quality of Lacazette and Dembele will be enough to earn them three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 60.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Nice had a probability of 18.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
LyonDrawNice
60.26% (-0.111 -0.11) 21.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 18.41% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 54.42% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.22% (-0.124 -0.12)42.77% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.82% (-0.123 -0.12)65.18% (0.123 0.12)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.22% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)13.77% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.92% (-0.146 -0.15)41.08% (0.146 0.15)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)36.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.33% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)73.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 60.26%
    Nice 18.41%
    Draw 21.32%
LyonDrawNice
1-0 @ 10.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.98% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 9.96%
3-0 @ 6.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.58% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 60.26%
1-1 @ 10.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.08% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.32%
0-1 @ 5.07% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.01% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.53% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 18.41%

How you voted: Lyon vs Nice

Lyon
Draw
Nice
Lyon
57.8%
Draw
22.5%
Nice
19.6%
102
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 8pm
Lyon
2-0
Nice
Dembele (8' pen.), Toko Ekambi (52')

Todibo (50')
Oct 24, 2021 12pm
Nice
3-2
Lyon
Atal (81'), Delort (89' pen.), Guessand (90+1')
Guessand (90+2')
Toko Ekambi (35'), Aouar (68')
Kadewere (85')
May 23, 2021 8pm
Lyon
2-3
Nice
Toko Ekambi (14', 40')
Marcelo (56')
Dolberg (27'), Kamara (50'), Saliba (57')
Thuram (45+1'), Todibo (65')
Dec 19, 2020 8pm
Nice
1-4
Lyon
Gouiri (44')
Thuram (57')
Depay (32' pen.), Kadewere (39'), Toko Ekambi (63'), Aouar (73')
Cornet (66')
Feb 2, 2020 2pm
Nice
2-1
Lyon
Dolberg (33', 64')
Ounas (38'), Claude Maurice (45'), Herelle (71')
Ounas (45')
Toko Ekambi (45')
Antonio Guedes Filho (45'), Da Silva (52')
Marcal (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG32246285335278
2Marseille32185967442359
3MonacoMonaco32177861372458
4Nice32169760392157
5Lille32169750331757
6StrasbourgStrasbourg32169753391457
7Lyon321661063441954
8Lens32146123738-148
9Brest32145135053-347
10Auxerre32118134647-141
11Rennes32122184746138
12Toulouse32108144040038
13Reims3289153243-1133
14Angers3296173050-2033
15NantesNantes32711143551-1632
16Le HavreLe Havre3294193666-3031
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3276193574-3927
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3244242272-5016


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