Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 58.17%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
58.17% ( -1.25) | 22.02% ( 0.42) | 19.81% ( 0.82) |
Both teams to score 54.58% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.23% ( -0.68) | 43.77% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.84% ( -0.66) | 66.16% ( 0.66) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.24% ( -0.62) | 14.75% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.01% ( -1.19) | 42.99% ( 1.19) |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.02% ( 0.47) | 35.98% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.24% ( 0.48) | 72.75% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.74% Total : 58.16% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.02% | 0-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.81% Total : 19.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 37 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |