Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 24, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille1 - 0Rennes
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nagida (23'), Skiri Oestigaard (90+4')
We said: Lille 2-1 Rennes
Despite a number of players sitting in the medical room, we are still expecting a solid performance from Champions League-competing Lille this weekend. Rennes have endured a poor run of form against mid-table dwellers in recent weeks, so we do not fancy their chances at the home of Les Dogues in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Rennes |
47.31% ( 0.54) | 24.1% ( -0.06) | 28.59% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 57.81% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.75% ( -0.05) | 44.24% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.38% ( -0.04) | 66.62% ( 0.04) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% ( 0.2) | 18.84% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.71% ( 0.34) | 50.28% ( -0.34) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( -0.36) | 28.77% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.39% ( -0.45) | 64.61% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
Lille 47.31%
Rennes 28.59%
Draw 24.1%
| Lille | Draw | Rennes |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 47.31% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.6% Total : 28.59% |
How you voted: Lille vs Rennes
Lille
79.4%Draw
17.6%Rennes
2.9%68
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 4.05pm
Gameweek 25
Lille
2-2
Rennes
Feb 4, 2023 8pm
Nov 6, 2022 4.05pm
May 21, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 38
Lille
2-2
Rennes
