We said: Saint-Etienne 0-1 Lens
Dall'Oglio was reportedly on the brink before St Etienne's win over Auxerre, but after saving his job with that victory, this will be a much tougher assignment.
Lens may have drawn their last five games in the league, but they certainly have the quality here to claim a first win since gameweek two against one of the favourites for relegation.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
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