Saint-Etienne desperately need a win as they begin a run of four promising fixtures on paper, which includes trips to the bottom two, and they have been stronger at home, winning 16 of their 18 points at the Guichard.
With Angers all but safe and playing in the quarter-finals of the Coupe de France, it would not be a surprise to see some having one eye on that game in midweek, and that could see them slip up in the league here, like how they did against Le Havre recently.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
-0.58) 
0.75) 
