Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Raymond Kopa
Angers0 - 2Marseille
We said: Angers 1-2 Marseille
Marseille face a tricky test against an in-form Angers side that has lost just once in seven competitive matches this year, but we are still backing the visitors to edge a narrow victory. This is because De Zerbi's team boast the league's joint-best away record, and their attacking firepower is likely going to make the difference despite the hosts' expected resilience. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Angers had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for an Angers win it was 1-0 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Marseille |
20.22% ( -0.58) | 23.26% ( -0.29) | 56.51% ( 0.87) |
| Both teams to score 51.24% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.46% ( 0.49) | 48.53% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.34% ( 0.45) | 70.66% ( -0.45) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.72% ( -0.32) | 38.28% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.96% ( -0.31) | 75.04% ( 0.31) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.03% ( 0.49) | 16.97% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.93% ( 0.86) | 47.07% ( -0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
Angers 20.22%
Marseille 56.5%
Draw 23.26%
| Angers | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 3% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.51% Total : 20.22% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 10.21% ( 0.12)1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 6.04% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 5.8% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.68% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 2.57% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.98% Total : 56.5% |
How you voted: Angers vs Marseille
Angers
15.5%Draw
12.1%Marseille
72.4%58
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 30, 2022 8pm
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
