Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
-0.08) 
0.11) 
