MX23RW : Friday, February 7 11:16:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
AJ Auxerre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps
Toulouse

Auxerre
vs.
Toulouse

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 4-2 Auxerre
Saturday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-2 Guingamp
Wednesday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

We say: Auxerre 1-1 Toulouse

This is a difficult match to call, as both sides have had their troubles of late and it is a game that Toulouse need to win to stay in the hunt for European football next term. However, Auxerre are tough to beat on their home turf but have found it hard to win matches in recent months, so therefore we think this game ends in a 1-1 draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Auxerre win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Toulouse has a probability of 33.04% and a draw has a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Toulouse win is 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.31%).

Result
AuxerreDrawToulouse
38.22% (-1.556 -1.56) 28.73% (-0.168 -0.17) 33.04% (1.72 1.72)
Both teams to score 45.4% (0.859 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.92% (0.863 0.86)61.08% (-0.867 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.95% (0.64 0.64)81.05% (-0.642 -0.64)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09% (-0.499 -0.5)30.91% (0.496 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.8% (-0.589 -0.59)67.2% (0.587 0.59)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.71% (1.705 1.71)34.29% (-1.706 -1.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.01% (1.782 1.78)70.99% (-1.786 -1.79)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 38.22%
    Toulouse 33.04%
    Draw 28.72%
AuxerreDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 12.44% (-0.59 -0.59)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.31% (-0.45 -0.45)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.86% (-0.218 -0.22)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 38.22%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.59% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-2 @ 4.19% (0.136 0.14)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.72%
0-1 @ 11.34% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.326 0.33)
0-2 @ 6.07% (0.357 0.36)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.226 0.23)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.22 0.22)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 33.04%

Who will win Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Toulouse?

Auxerre
Draw
Toulouse
Auxerre
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Toulouse
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 13
Toulouse
2-0
Auxerre
King (32'), Sierro (39' pen.)
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Toulouse
1-1
Auxerre
Aboukhlal (44')
Spierings (71')
Raveloson (24')
Jubal (2'), Massengo (18'), Abline (84')
Jan 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 18
Auxerre
0-5
Toulouse
Chaibi (4'), Rouault (33'), Van den Boomen (41' pen.), Aboukhlal (75'), Dallinga (88')
Mar 19, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 30
Auxerre
1-2
Toulouse
Dugimont (71')
Pellenard (42')
Charbonnier (38')
Van den Boomen (33' pen., 41')
Spierings (9')
Oct 16, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 12
Toulouse
6-0
Auxerre
Healey (4', 72'), Ratao (7', 46'), Mvoue (24'), Nicolaisen (84')
Genreau (44')

Dugimont (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG20155054193550
2Marseille20124443251840
3MonacoMonaco20114536241237
4Lille2098333201335
5Nice2097439261334
6Lens209652518733
7Lyon208663226630
8Brest2091103136-528
9StrasbourgStrasbourg207673332127
10Toulouse207582122-126
11Auxerre206592733-623
12Angers206592229-723
13Reims205782629-322
14NantesNantes204972430-621
15Rennes2062122730-320
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2053121943-2418
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier2043132046-2615
18Le HavreLe Havre2042141539-2414


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