Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stade Oceane
Le Havre1 - 4Toulouse
We said: Le Havre 1-2 Toulouse
Toulouse may be experiencing a poor run of form, but we think that Sunday's fixture against relegation-threatened Le Havre represents the perfect opportunity for them to return to winning ways, especially as the hosts have lost each of their previous six home matches in Ligue 1. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 60.87%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 16.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.25%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Le Havre | Draw | Toulouse |
16.12% ( 0.58) | 23% ( 0.56) | 60.87% ( -1.14) |
| Both teams to score 44.76% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.64% ( -1.16) | 53.35% ( 1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.1% ( -0.99) | 74.89% ( 0.98) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.03% ( 0.09) | 45.97% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.3% ( 0.08) | 81.69% ( -0.08) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.84% ( -0.8) | 17.15% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.6% ( -1.43) | 47.39% ( 1.43) |
| Score Analysis |
Le Havre 16.12%
Toulouse 60.87%
Draw 23%
| Le Havre | Draw | Toulouse |
| 1-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.36% Total : 16.12% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.62% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 13.9% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 12.25% ( -0.1)1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 7.2% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.18)0-4 @ 3.17% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.5% Total : 60.87% |
How you voted: Le Havre vs Toulouse
Le Havre
29.4%Draw
29.4%Toulouse
41.2%17
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 4pm
Mar 10, 2024 2pm
Feb 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Toulouse
4-0
Le Havre
Nicolaisen (23'), Onaiwu (27'), Van den Boomen (48' pen.), N'Goumou (80')
Spierings (19'), Healey (71')
Spierings (19'), Healey (71')
Sep 13, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Le Havre
1-1
Toulouse
