Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Nantes0 - 1Strasbourg
We said: Nantes 0-1 Strasbourg
Strasbourg have found ways to win in recent weeks, and although Nantes need the points, we think that the visitors will just about edge this one. With games against Toulouse and Lyon in the coming weeks, Rosenior's side will want to take all three points before they play two sides that are closer to them in the table, and we expect them to do just that this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Strasbourg in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Strasbourg |
33.97% ( 0.01) | 26.16% ( 0) | 39.87% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.39% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.89% ( 0) | 51.11% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.04% ( 0) | 72.96% ( -0) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( 0.01) | 28.61% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.59% ( 0.01) | 64.41% ( -0.01) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% ( -0) | 25.21% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.05% ( -0) | 59.95% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Nantes 33.97%
Strasbourg 39.87%
Draw 26.15%
| Nantes | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 9.03% 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.65% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.97% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 6.85% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.94% 0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 39.87% |
How you voted: Nantes vs Strasbourg
Nantes
11.9%Draw
26.2%Strasbourg
61.9%42
