Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20

Jan 29, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg
1 - 2
Toulouse

Gameiro (20')
Doukoure (47')
Gameiro (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dallinga (25', 51')
Aboukhlal (74'), Montanier (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Lyon 1-2 Strasbourg
Saturday, January 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 2-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, January 21 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Strasbourg 0-2 Toulouse

Toulouse have been in sensational form since the turn of the year in both a defensive and attacking sense, so we expect them to wrap up a comfortable victory against Strasbourg on Sunday. The hosts have been much more promising under the helm of Le Scornet, but they are still in a very poor league position, so there is no better chance for Toulouse to end their long winless run against their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Toulouse
40.48% ( -0.02)	24.95% ( -0.02)	34.57% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 57.63% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.3% (

0.1)

45.7% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.98% (

0.09)

68.02% (

-0.09)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.51% (

0.03)

22.49% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.95% (

0.05)

56.05% (

-0.04)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35% (

0.07)

25.65% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.45% (

0.09)

60.55% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 40.48%

Toulouse 34.57%

Draw 24.95%

Strasbourg	Draw	Toulouse
2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 40.48%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.95%	1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.57%