Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens0 - 2Strasbourg
FT(HT: 0-0)
We said: Lens 2-2 Strasbourg
Both in mixed form of late, it is hard to separate Lens and Strasbourg heading into this fixture, so we are predicting a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Strasbourg |
49.92% ( -0.19) | 24.61% ( 0.1) | 25.46% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.49% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.26% ( -0.35) | 48.73% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.16% ( -0.32) | 70.84% ( 0.32) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( -0.22) | 19.54% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.55% ( -0.36) | 51.45% ( 0.35) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% ( -0.12) | 33.52% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.84% ( -0.13) | 70.15% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
Lens 49.92%
Strasbourg 25.46%
Draw 24.6%
| Lens | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.96% Total : 49.92% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 25.46% |
How you voted: Lens vs Strasbourg
Lens
64.0%Draw
28.0%Strasbourg
8.0%25
