MX23RW : Monday, March 24 16:17:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2025 at 8.05pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
PSG logo

Toulouse
0 - 1
PSG


Sierro (39'), Akdag (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ruiz (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 2-2 Toulouse
Sunday, February 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-3 PSG
Tuesday, February 11 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Toulouse 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

 PSG are taking Ligue 1 by storm, and no club has been able to get the better of them since Toulouse did in May, but this will be a big ask for a club currently out of form. After such a big win over Brest on Tuesday, PSG boss Enrique can afford to put more weight on this fixture to extend their unbeaten run, and potentially their lead at the summit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 14.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.06%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-0 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawParis Saint-Germain
14.86% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 20.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 64.97% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.52% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.53% (0.0019999999999953 0)66.47%
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.93% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)42.07% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)78.5% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)12.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)39.1% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 14.86%
    Paris Saint-Germain 64.95%
    Draw 20.18%
ToulouseDrawParis Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 4.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 4.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 2.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 14.86%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.38%
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 20.18%
0-2 @ 11.37%
0-1 @ 11.06%
1-2 @ 9.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 7.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-4 @ 4.01% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-4 @ 3.47% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.43% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 64.95%

How you voted: Toulouse vs PSG

Toulouse
8.3%
Draw
11.7%
Paris Saint-Germain
80.0%
60
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 12
PSG
3-0
Toulouse
Neves (35'), Beraldo (84'), Vitinha (90+1')
Hakimi (44')

Aboukhlal (43'), Donnum (75')
> Preview
May 12, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 33
PSG
1-3
Toulouse
Mbappe (8')
Dallinga (13'), Gboho (68'), Magri (90+5')
> Preview
Jan 3, 2024 7.45pm
Final
PSG
2-0
Toulouse
Kang-in (3'), Mbappe (44')
Vitinha (46'), Hernandez (77')

Suazo (45+1')
> Match Report
Aug 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 2
Toulouse
1-1
PSG
Aboukhlal (87' pen.)
Mbappe (62' pen.)
Kang-in (45+1'), Ugarte (81'), Donnarumma (85')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 22
PSG
2-1
Toulouse
Hakimi (38'), Messi (58')
Van den Boomen (20')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG26215073254868
2Marseille26154753332049
3MonacoMonaco26145751321947
4Nice26138550311947
5Lyon26136750331745
6Lille26128640281244
7StrasbourgStrasbourg2612774133843
8Lens2611693129239
9Brest26114113840-237
10Toulouse2697103329434
11Auxerre2688103739-232
12Rennes2692153537-229
13NantesNantes2669112943-1427
14Angers2676132642-1627
15Reims2658132640-1423
16Le HavreLe Havre2663172655-2921
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2555152557-3220
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2543182159-3815
> Ligue 1 Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!