Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenoble win with a probability of 43.19%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 27.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grenoble win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 1-2 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 1-0 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Grenoble in this match.