Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 47.86%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 24.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.