Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Chateauroux had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Chateauroux win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.