Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 50.05%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Dijon win it was 1-0 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.