Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 41.75%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for FC Chambly had a probability of 27.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.26%), while for a FC Chambly win it was 1-0 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.