Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 47.96%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 24.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Guingamp win it was 0-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
