Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nancy win with a probability of 44.63%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 26.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nancy win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nancy would win this match.