Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Nancy win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
