Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Nancy had a probability of 13.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Nancy win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
